Source: The Straits Times, 18/8/8, p.A17
Headline: The great illusion
Author: Paul Krugman
Comment:
This article presents a negative thesis: that something is not the case. What is this something?
Quote:
Shortly before World War I another British author, Norman Angell, published a famous book titled The Great Illusion, in which he argued that war had become obsolete, that in the modern industrial era even military victors lose far more than they gain. ...
Comment:
The thesis to be disproved is: Globalisation prevents wars.
Quote:
But war kept happening anyway.
Comment:
This is disproof by counterexample. Just as we disprove "All swans are white" by producing a single black swan, we disprove "globalisation prevents wars" by citing examples where wars [in particular, World War I] occur despite globalisation. Faced with a counterexample, we must draw the conclusion: not-(globalisation prevents wars).
Quote:
So are the foundations of the second global economy [what we have now, as compared to before WWI] any more solid than those of the first? In some ways, yes.
Comment:
This is an attempted reply to the counterexample. The reply is by way of making a [not explicitly stated] distinction between today's "more solid" globalisation and the globalisation of before WWI. What's the difference?
Quote:
For example, war among the nations of Western Europe really does seem inconceivable now, not so much because of economic ties as because of shared democratic values.
Comment:
Today's globalisation is stronger because of shared democratic values.
Quote:
Much of the world, however, including nations that play a key role in the global economy, doesn't share those values. ...
Comment:
This difference between today's globalisation and pre-WWI globalisation cannot be sustained. Therefore, the two globalisations are not different. Therefore, the counterexample stands -- and the thesis falls.
Quote:
... the belief that economic rationality always prevents wars is an equally great illusion.
Comment:
To capture the argument:
Thesis: Globalisation prevents wars.
Counterexample: World War I occured despite globalisation.
Conclusion: Therefore, not-(globalisation prevents wars)
Wednesday, 27 August 2008
Thursday, 21 August 2008
An eclectic conversation II
This is a report of the philosophy cafe session on 20 August 2008.
There was no single question used for discussion. Instead, an eclectic conversation ensued. Here are two highlights.
SEXY YOUNG GIRLS
Some parents doll up their young daughters, even as young as under 10 years of age, for singing, dancing and other contests. Often, these girls are physically similar to older girls. Thus, to an onlooker, they appear to be sexually attractive (and sometimes mature) young women, with their real ages becoming apparent only if identity documents are checked. Say some man responds to this presentation in a sexual way; has he done anything wrong? The immediate response is "paedophile!" Consider an alternative response. Parents voluntarily, willingly and deliberately present their young daughters to the world, sometimes even on national television, as sexually attractive (and sometimes mature) young women; this invites a sexual response -- and it's only natural to get such a response. Our discussion of this question stops here.
RESIGNATION BEHAVIOUR
An employee is badly treated by his employer. His talents and contributions are neither recognised nor rewarded. He decides to resign. The question is how should he behave while serving out his period of notice? One response: He should continue to do his work conscientiously, even making sure to do a proper handover to the person taking over his job. For two reasons. First, he is a professional. Second, if he is derelict, the market will speak ill of him, and this will adversely affect his prospects at other companies. Another response: The company has mistreated him; there is no reason to continue to be good to his company. He is entitled to return the favour. Just do nothing and sit tight till the final day. There is no intelligence network in the market. There is no third response: Nobody suggests doing criminal acts.
Our next philosophy cafe session is on 17 September 2008. Venue: Gone Fishing Cafe, 15 Chu Lin Road. Time: 8-10pm. Free admission. All are welcome.
There was no single question used for discussion. Instead, an eclectic conversation ensued. Here are two highlights.
SEXY YOUNG GIRLS
Some parents doll up their young daughters, even as young as under 10 years of age, for singing, dancing and other contests. Often, these girls are physically similar to older girls. Thus, to an onlooker, they appear to be sexually attractive (and sometimes mature) young women, with their real ages becoming apparent only if identity documents are checked. Say some man responds to this presentation in a sexual way; has he done anything wrong? The immediate response is "paedophile!" Consider an alternative response. Parents voluntarily, willingly and deliberately present their young daughters to the world, sometimes even on national television, as sexually attractive (and sometimes mature) young women; this invites a sexual response -- and it's only natural to get such a response. Our discussion of this question stops here.
RESIGNATION BEHAVIOUR
An employee is badly treated by his employer. His talents and contributions are neither recognised nor rewarded. He decides to resign. The question is how should he behave while serving out his period of notice? One response: He should continue to do his work conscientiously, even making sure to do a proper handover to the person taking over his job. For two reasons. First, he is a professional. Second, if he is derelict, the market will speak ill of him, and this will adversely affect his prospects at other companies. Another response: The company has mistreated him; there is no reason to continue to be good to his company. He is entitled to return the favour. Just do nothing and sit tight till the final day. There is no intelligence network in the market. There is no third response: Nobody suggests doing criminal acts.
Our next philosophy cafe session is on 17 September 2008. Venue: Gone Fishing Cafe, 15 Chu Lin Road. Time: 8-10pm. Free admission. All are welcome.
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